Complexity throws 95% win probability to lose series

posted by CozmikMonkey,
What looked like a sure-win for compLexity Gaming in the decisive game of their series against Mineski at the StarLadder ImbaTV Dota 2 Minor #2 quickly turned sour after a string of thrown teamfights.
Complexity Gaming started the game off very well—they were building farm on Linus 'Limmp' Blomdin's Templar Assassin and Galvin 'Meracle-' Kang Jian Wen's Naix, as well as accruing a gold lead.

Despite only a 3k net worth advantage at 25 minutes, they were clearly in control of the game.

By 30 minutes, Complexity had a stranglehold on the game. They had successfully nullified both Lai Jay 'Ah Jit' Son's Phantom Assassin and Kam Boon 'Moonn' Seng's Ember Spirit, and just two minutes later, they were assaulting Mineski's highground.

However, instead of merely retreating and regrouping after securing their objective, they stayed to destroy the tier 4 towers, but oddly, not commit to the Ancient either. Because they loitered for too long, they were soon forced into another engagement where Mineski was able to kill three heroes in return.

At 34 minutes Mineski counter-pushed Complexity Gaming's base—able to kill Zakari 'ZfreeK' Freedman's Enigma in the jungle and Meracle in the base while the others were still respawning—and took two lanes of barracks.

At the 36th minute, casters TobiWan and Kyle 'Kyle' Freedman pulled up the win probability graph and remarked that Complexity had a 95% win chance and had thrown it; Mineski continued to lay on the pressure, Ah Jit and Moon getting stronger every minute, until the two teams collided in a huge teamfight.

With Moon's Ember Spirit now very farmed, and Phantom Assassin near unkillable, Mineski made a final push into Complexity's base where they secured Mega Creeps, and soon after, the game.

Will Complexity be able to recover after such a devastating loss?

Photo Credit - ESL | ESL One Mumbai 2019